Benevento vs Sudtirol prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 30 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Benevento to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives Benevento 35% at home, a draw 31% and Sudtirol 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 27% / 22%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Benevento and 1.2 for Sudtirol; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%. Careful: there is little recent data on Benevento, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Benevento
Attack 18th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Modena 2026-08-22
Sudtirol
Attack 13th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Virtus Entella 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Juve Stabia 2026-05-08
- L 0-1 at Sampdoria 2026-05-01
- L 0-3 v Mantova 2026-04-25
- L 1-6 at Spezia 2026-04-18
From 776 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 30 Aug
- Arezzo vs Palermo · FT 2–3
- Mantova vs Empoli · FT 3–1
- Pisa vs Catanzaro · FT 2–1