Arezzo vs Palermo prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Palermo to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Arezzo 23% at home, a draw 30% and Palermo 47%, so its call is 2: Palermo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 29% / 46%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Arezzo and 1.4 for Palermo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Arezzo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Arezzo
Attack 14th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Avellino 2026-08-22
Palermo
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Juve Stabia 2026-08-23
- L 0-2 at Venezia 2026-05-08
- W 3-2 v Catanzaro 2026-05-01
- D 1-1 at Reggiana 2026-04-25
- W 2-0 v Cesena 2026-04-18
From 776 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 30 Aug
- Mantova vs Empoli · FT 3–1
- Benevento vs Sudtirol · FT 1–1
- Pisa vs Catanzaro · FT 2–1