Brit Predictor

Zwolle vs Nijmegen prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 29 August 2026, 21:00 WAT

Full timeZwolle 1–3 NijmegenResult 2

Who wins?

ZwolleDrawNijmegen
Model 2 ✓
26%23%51%
Market 2 ✓
28%23%49%

Brit Predictor's model rates Nijmegen to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Zwolle 26% at home, a draw 23% and Nijmegen 51%, so its call is 2: Nijmegen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 23% / 49%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.4 for Zwolle and 2.0 for Nijmegen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 67%.

Expected goals1.4 – 2.0
GoalsOver 2.5 · 67%
Both teams score66%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Zwolle

Attack 14th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.

WLLLL
  • W 2-0 at Heerenveen 2026-08-22
  • L 1-3 at Twente 2026-08-16
  • L 0-2 v Ajax 2026-08-09
  • L 0-2 v Feyenoord 2026-05-17
  • L 2-3 at For Sittard 2026-05-10

Nijmegen

Attack 3rd of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.

WLWLD
  • W 4-1 at Willem II 2026-08-15
  • L 1-2 v Telstar 2026-08-08
  • W 2-1 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-05-17
  • L 1-2 at Groningen 2026-05-10
  • D 1-1 v Telstar 2026-05-02

From 637 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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