Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Excelsior to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Excelsior 50% at home, a draw 27% and Sparta Rotterdam 23%, so its call is 1: Excelsior to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Excelsior and 1.0 for Sparta Rotterdam; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 50%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Excelsior
Attack 12th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-15
- W 4-0 at Cambuur 2026-08-07
- W 3-2 at Sparta Rotterdam 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Volendam 2026-05-10
- W 3-2 at Groningen 2026-05-02
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack 16th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- D 3-3 v Utrecht 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 at Telstar 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Feyenoord 2026-08-09
- L 2-3 v Excelsior 2026-05-17
- L 0-4 at Twente 2026-05-10
From 637 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sat 29 Aug
- AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles · FT 5–2
- Zwolle vs Nijmegen · FT 1–3