AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates AZ Alkmaar to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives AZ Alkmaar 54% at home, a draw 24% and Go Ahead Eagles 23%, so its call is 1: AZ Alkmaar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 74% / 15% / 11%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.2 for Go Ahead Eagles; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
AZ Alkmaar
Attack 5th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 at For Sittard 2026-08-22
- W 4-1 at Utrecht 2026-08-15
- W 2-0 v Den Haag 2026-08-08
- D 3-3 v NAC Breda 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Feyenoord 2026-05-10
Go Ahead Eagles
Attack 7th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Den Haag 2026-08-23
- D 2-2 at Feyenoord 2026-08-16
- W 4-1 v Willem II 2026-08-08
- L 1-2 at Nijmegen 2026-05-17
- L 1-4 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-05-10
From 637 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sat 29 Aug
- Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam · FT 2–1
- Zwolle vs Nijmegen · FT 1–3