Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Newcastle to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Tottenham 33% at home, a draw 26% and Newcastle 41%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 30%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Tottenham and 1.6 for Newcastle; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 59%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Tottenham
Attack 13th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Brentford 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Everton 2026-05-24
- L 1-2 at Chelsea 2026-05-19
- D 1-1 v Leeds 2026-05-11
- W 2-1 at Aston Villa 2026-05-03
Newcastle
Attack 7th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Liverpool 2026-08-23
- L 0-2 at Fulham 2026-05-24
- W 3-1 v West Ham 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Nott'm Forest 2026-05-10
- W 3-1 v Brighton 2026-05-02
From 771 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 29 Aug
- Liverpool vs Nott'm Forest · FT 2–2
- Bournemouth vs Everton · FT 1–1
- Coventry vs Hull · FT 0–1