Liverpool vs Nott'm Forest prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Liverpool to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Liverpool 52% at home, a draw 25% and Nott'm Forest 23%, so its call is 1: Liverpool to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 67% / 19% / 14%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Liverpool and 1.2 for Nott'm Forest; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Liverpool
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Newcastle 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 v Brentford 2026-05-24
- L 2-4 at Aston Villa 2026-05-15
- D 1-1 v Chelsea 2026-05-09
- L 2-3 at Man United 2026-05-03
Nott'm Forest
Attack 12th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Leeds 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Bournemouth 2026-05-24
- L 2-3 at Man United 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Newcastle 2026-05-10
- W 3-1 at Chelsea 2026-05-04
From 771 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 29 Aug
- Bournemouth vs Everton · FT 1–1
- Coventry vs Hull · FT 0–1
- Tottenham vs Newcastle · FT 0–2