Brit Predictor

Bournemouth vs Everton prediction

England Premier League · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeBournemouth 1–1 EvertonResult X

Who wins?

BournemouthDrawEverton
Model 1 ✗
45%29%26%
Market 1 ✗
44%27%29%

Brit Predictor's model rates Bournemouth to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Bournemouth 45% at home, a draw 29% and Everton 26%, so its call is 1: Bournemouth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 27% / 29%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bournemouth and 1.0 for Everton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score51%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Bournemouth

Attack 9th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.

LDDWW
  • L 1-2 at Man City 2026-08-23
  • D 1-1 at Nott'm Forest 2026-05-24
  • D 1-1 v Man City 2026-05-19
  • W 1-0 at Fulham 2026-05-09
  • W 3-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-05-03

Everton

Attack 17th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.

WLLDD
  • W 2-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-08-22
  • L 0-1 at Tottenham 2026-05-24
  • L 1-3 v Sunderland 2026-05-17
  • D 2-2 at Crystal Palace 2026-05-10
  • D 3-3 v Man City 2026-05-04

From 771 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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