FC Koln vs Hoffenheim prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hoffenheim to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives FC Koln 35% at home, a draw 23% and Hoffenheim 42%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 25% / 45%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.7 for FC Koln and 1.8 for Hoffenheim; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 69%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
FC Koln
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-5 at Bayern Munich 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 v Heidenheim 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 at Union Berlin 2026-05-02
- L 1-2 v Leverkusen 2026-04-25
- D 1-1 at St Pauli 2026-04-17
Hoffenheim
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-4 at M'gladbach 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 v Werder Bremen 2026-05-09
- D 3-3 v Stuttgart 2026-05-02
- W 2-1 at Hamburg 2026-04-25
- W 2-1 v Dortmund 2026-04-18
From 613 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 29 Aug
- Elversberg vs Leverkusen · FT 3–2
- Mainz vs Paderborn · FT 0–0
- RB Leipzig vs M'gladbach · FT 3–0
- Union Berlin vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 3–3
- Dortmund vs Hamburg · FT 2–0