Dortmund vs Hamburg prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dortmund to win as the most likely result (68%). It gives Dortmund 68% at home, a draw 20% and Hamburg 12%, so its call is 1: Dortmund to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 74% / 16% / 10%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.2 for Dortmund and 0.8 for Hamburg; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dortmund
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-0 at Werder Bremen 2026-05-16
- W 3-2 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-05-08
- L 0-1 at M'gladbach 2026-05-03
- W 4-0 v Freiburg 2026-04-26
- L 1-2 at Hoffenheim 2026-04-18
Hamburg
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 1-1 at Leverkusen 2026-05-16
- W 3-2 v Freiburg 2026-05-10
- W 2-1 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-05-02
- L 1-2 v Hoffenheim 2026-04-25
- L 1-3 at Werder Bremen 2026-04-18
From 613 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 29 Aug
- Elversberg vs Leverkusen · FT 3–2
- FC Koln vs Hoffenheim · FT 3–2
- Mainz vs Paderborn · FT 0–0
- RB Leipzig vs M'gladbach · FT 3–0
- Union Berlin vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 3–3