Santa Clara vs Famalicao prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Famalicao to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Santa Clara 32% at home, a draw 32% and Famalicao 36%, so its call is X2: Famalicao to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 31% / 35%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 0.8 for Santa Clara and 0.9 for Famalicao; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 74%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Santa Clara
Attack 17th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Academico Viseu 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 v Nacional 2026-08-10
- L 0-1 at Porto 2026-05-16
- W 2-0 v Nacional 2026-05-11
- D 2-2 at Arouca 2026-05-02
Famalicao
Attack 8th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Maritimo 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 at Estoril 2026-08-07
- W 1-0 v Alverca 2026-05-16
- D 0-0 at Estrela 2026-05-11
- D 2-2 v Benfica 2026-05-02
From 632 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 23 Aug
- Guimaraes vs Nacional · FT 1–0
- Porto vs Arouca · FT 2–0