Rennes vs Paris SG prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 23 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Paris SG to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Rennes 21% at home, a draw 22% and Paris SG 57%, so its call is 2: Paris SG to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 15% / 18% / 67%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rennes and 2.1 for Paris SG; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 65%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Rennes
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-3 at Marseille 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 v Paris FC 2026-05-10
- L 2-4 at Lyon 2026-05-03
- W 2-1 v Nantes 2026-04-26
- W 3-0 at Strasbourg 2026-04-19
Paris SG
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-2 at Paris FC 2026-05-17
- W 2-0 at Lens 2026-05-13
- W 1-0 v Brest 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 v Lorient 2026-05-02
- W 3-0 at Angers 2026-04-25
From 618 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 23 Aug
- Angers vs Lille · FT 0–2
- Le Havre vs Monaco · FT 0–1