Le Havre vs Monaco prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Monaco to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Le Havre 26% at home, a draw 25% and Monaco 49%, so its call is 2: Monaco to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 24% / 26% / 50%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Le Havre and 1.7 for Monaco; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Le Havre
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-0 at Lorient 2026-05-17
- L 0-1 v Marseille 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 at Lille 2026-05-03
- D 4-4 v Metz 2026-04-26
- D 1-1 at Angers 2026-04-18
Monaco
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 4-5 at Strasbourg 2026-05-17
- L 0-1 v Lille 2026-05-10
- W 2-1 at Metz 2026-05-02
- D 2-2 at Toulouse 2026-04-25
- D 2-2 v Auxerre 2026-04-19
From 618 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 23 Aug
- Angers vs Lille · FT 0–2
- Rennes vs Paris SG · FT 2–2