Angers vs Lille prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lille to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Angers 19% at home, a draw 31% and Lille 51%, so its call is 2: Lille to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 19% / 26% / 55%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.7 for Angers and 1.3 for Lille; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 67%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Angers
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 1-1 at Brest 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Strasbourg 2026-05-10
- L 1-3 at Auxerre 2026-05-03
- L 0-3 v Paris SG 2026-04-25
- D 1-1 v Le Havre 2026-04-18
Lille
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-2 v Auxerre 2026-05-17
- W 1-0 at Monaco 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 v Le Havre 2026-05-03
- W 1-0 at Paris FC 2026-04-26
- D 0-0 v Nice 2026-04-18
From 618 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 23 Aug
- Le Havre vs Monaco · FT 0–1
- Rennes vs Paris SG · FT 2–2