Valencia vs Celta prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Valencia to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Valencia 40% at home, a draw 25% and Celta 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 30% / 31%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Valencia and 1.3 for Celta; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Valencia
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 3-1 v Barcelona 2026-05-23
- W 4-3 at Sociedad 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Vallecano 2026-05-14
- W 1-0 at Ath Bilbao 2026-05-10
- L 0-2 v Ath Madrid 2026-05-02
Celta
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 1-0 v Sevilla 2026-05-23
- D 1-1 at Ath Bilbao 2026-05-17
- L 2-3 v Levante 2026-05-12
- W 1-0 at Ath Madrid 2026-05-09
- W 3-1 v Elche 2026-05-03
From 768 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 22 Aug
- Ath Bilbao vs Sevilla · FT 1–3
- Espanol vs Real Madrid · FT 1–2