Espanol vs Real Madrid prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 22 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Real Madrid to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Espanol 21% at home, a draw 23% and Real Madrid 55%, so its call is 2: Real Madrid to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 12% / 18% / 70%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Espanol and 1.7 for Real Madrid; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 50%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Espanol
Attack 12th of 14, defence 8th of 14 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Levante 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 v Sociedad 2026-05-23
- W 2-1 at Osasuna 2026-05-17
- W 2-0 v Ath Bilbao 2026-05-13
- L 1-2 at Sevilla 2026-05-09
Real Madrid
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 4-2 v Ath Bilbao 2026-05-23
- W 1-0 at Sevilla 2026-05-17
- W 2-0 v Oviedo 2026-05-14
- L 0-2 at Barcelona 2026-05-10
- W 2-0 at Espanol 2026-05-03
From 768 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 22 Aug
- Ath Bilbao vs Sevilla · FT 1–3
- Valencia vs Celta · FT 0–0