Ath Bilbao vs Sevilla prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ath Bilbao to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Ath Bilbao 53% at home, a draw 25% and Sevilla 23%, so its call is 1: Ath Bilbao to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 26% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ath Bilbao and 1.0 for Sevilla; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ath Bilbao
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 2-4 at Real Madrid 2026-05-23
- D 1-1 v Celta 2026-05-17
- L 0-2 at Espanol 2026-05-13
- L 0-1 v Valencia 2026-05-10
- W 4-2 at Alaves 2026-05-02
Sevilla
Attack 8th of 14, defence 13th of 14 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Vallecano 2026-08-15
- L 0-1 at Celta 2026-05-23
- L 0-1 v Real Madrid 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 at Villarreal 2026-05-13
- W 2-1 v Espanol 2026-05-09
From 768 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 22 Aug
- Valencia vs Celta · FT 0–0
- Espanol vs Real Madrid · FT 1–2