Brit Predictor

Stevenage vs Oxford prediction

England League One · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeStevenage 1–2 OxfordResult 2

Who wins?

StevenageDrawOxford
Model 12 ✓
41%28%31%
Market 12 ✓
36%30%34%

Brit Predictor's model rates Stevenage to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Stevenage 41% at home, a draw 28% and Oxford 31%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 30% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Stevenage and 1.0 for Oxford; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%. Careful: there is little recent data on Oxford, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 62%
Both teams score44%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Stevenage

Attack 24th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.

DWDWD
  • D 1-1 at Burton 2026-08-15
  • W 1-0 v Wigan 2026-05-02
  • D 1-1 at Doncaster 2026-04-25
  • W 1-0 v Barnsley 2026-04-21
  • D 2-2 v Lincoln 2026-04-18

Oxford

Attack 8th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.

D
  • D 2-2 v Milton Keynes Dons 2026-08-15

From 1117 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sat 22 Aug

More England League One games on Sat 22 Aug