Sp Lisbon vs Alverca prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 22 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Lisbon to win as the most likely result (86%). It gives Sp Lisbon 86% at home, a draw 9% and Alverca 5%, so its call is 1: Sp Lisbon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 80% / 13% / 7%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.1 for Sp Lisbon and 0.6 for Alverca; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 73%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sp Lisbon
Attack 1st of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 v Guimaraes 2026-08-14
- D 2-2 at Estrela 2026-08-08
- W 3-0 v Gil Vicente 2026-05-16
- W 4-1 at Rio Ave 2026-05-11
- W 5-1 v Guimaraes 2026-05-04
Alverca
Attack 15th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Estrela 2026-08-15
- L 0-2 at Porto 2026-08-09
- L 0-1 at Famalicao 2026-05-16
- D 1-1 v Estoril 2026-05-10
- L 0-1 at Porto 2026-05-02
From 629 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 22 Aug
- Maritimo vs Academico Viseu · FT 2–2
- Estoril vs Rio Ave · FT 0–2