Maritimo vs Academico Viseu prediction

Who wins?

Brit Predictor's model rates Maritimo to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Maritimo 45% at home, a draw 26% and Academico Viseu 29%, so its call is 1: Maritimo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 47% / 29% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Maritimo and 1.0 for Academico Viseu; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Maritimo, Academico Viseu, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

From 629 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.