Estoril vs Rio Ave prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Estoril to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Estoril 58% at home, a draw 21% and Rio Ave 21%, so its call is 1: Estoril to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 26% / 25%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Estoril and 1.1 for Rio Ave; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 62%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Estoril
Attack 5th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Nacional 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 v Famalicao 2026-08-07
- L 1-3 v Benfica 2026-05-16
- D 1-1 at Alverca 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 at Sp Braga 2026-05-03
Rio Ave
Attack 16th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Porto 2026-08-15
- L 0-1 at Gil Vicente 2026-08-09
- D 1-1 at Casa Pia 2026-05-16
- L 1-4 v Sp Lisbon 2026-05-11
- D 0-0 v Gil Vicente 2026-05-03
From 629 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 22 Aug
- Maritimo vs Academico Viseu · FT 2–2
- Sp Lisbon vs Alverca · FT 3–1