Parma vs Cagliari prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 22 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Parma to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives Parma 35% at home, a draw 31% and Cagliari 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 33% / 34%, a call of X2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Parma and 1.1 for Cagliari; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 65%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Parma
Attack 16th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Sassuolo 2026-05-24
- L 0-1 at Como 2026-05-17
- L 2-3 v Roma 2026-05-10
- L 0-2 at Inter 2026-05-03
- W 1-0 v Pisa 2026-04-25
Cagliari
Attack 14th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Milan 2026-05-24
- W 2-1 v Torino 2026-05-17
- L 0-2 v Udinese 2026-05-09
- D 0-0 at Bologna 2026-05-03
- W 3-2 v Atalanta 2026-04-27
From 760 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 22 Aug
- Inter vs Monza · FT 4–1
- Udinese vs Como · FT 1–1
- Genoa vs Napoli · FT 0–2