Inter vs Monza prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Inter to win as the most likely result (90%). It gives Inter 90% at home, a draw 7% and Monza 3%, so its call is 1: Inter to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 86% / 10% / 4%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.5 for Inter and 0.5 for Monza; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 77%. Careful: there is little recent data on Monza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Inter
Attack 1st of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- D 3-3 at Bologna 2026-05-23
- D 1-1 v Verona 2026-05-17
- W 3-0 at Lazio 2026-05-09
- W 2-0 v Parma 2026-05-03
- D 2-2 at Torino 2026-04-26
Monza
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-2 at Milan 2025-05-24
- L 1-3 v Empoli 2025-05-18
- W 2-1 at Udinese 2025-05-11
- L 0-4 v Atalanta 2025-05-04
- L 0-2 at Juventus 2025-04-27
From 760 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 22 Aug
- Udinese vs Como · FT 1–1
- Genoa vs Napoli · FT 0–2
- Parma vs Cagliari · FT 0–1