Genoa vs Napoli prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 22 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Napoli to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Genoa 19% at home, a draw 27% and Napoli 54%, so its call is 2: Napoli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 23% / 30% / 46%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.8 for Genoa and 1.5 for Napoli; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Genoa
Attack 15th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Lecce 2026-05-24
- L 1-2 v Milan 2026-05-17
- D 0-0 at Fiorentina 2026-05-10
- D 0-0 at Atalanta 2026-05-02
- L 0-2 v Como 2026-04-26
Napoli
Attack 6th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Udinese 2026-05-24
- W 3-0 at Pisa 2026-05-17
- L 2-3 v Bologna 2026-05-11
- D 0-0 at Como 2026-05-02
- W 4-0 v Cremonese 2026-04-24
From 760 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 22 Aug
- Inter vs Monza · FT 4–1
- Udinese vs Como · FT 1–1
- Parma vs Cagliari · FT 0–1