Brit Predictor

Olympiakos vs Atromitos prediction

Greece Super League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 20:30 WAT

Full timeOlympiakos 1–0 AtromitosResult 1

Who wins?

OlympiakosDrawAtromitos
Model 1 ✓
68%24%
Market 1 ✓
81%14%

Brit Predictor's model rates Olympiakos to win as the most likely result (68%). It gives Olympiakos 68% at home, a draw 24% and Atromitos 8%, so its call is 1: Olympiakos to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 81% / 14% / 5%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Olympiakos and 0.5 for Atromitos; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.

Expected goals1.8 – 0.5
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 59%
Both teams score34%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Olympiakos

Attack 3rd of 14, defence 1st of 14 in the league.

DWDLW
  • D 1-1 at AEK 2026-05-17
  • W 1-0 v Panathinaikos 2026-05-13
  • D 1-1 v PAOK 2026-05-10
  • L 1-3 at PAOK 2026-05-03
  • W 2-0 at Panathinaikos 2026-04-19

Atromitos

Attack 7th of 14, defence 6th of 14 in the league.

WLWLL
  • W 6-0 v Panserraikos 2026-05-21
  • L 1-2 at Larisa 2026-05-16
  • W 3-0 at Kifisia 2026-05-12
  • L 1-2 v Panetolikos 2026-05-09
  • L 2-4 at Asteras Tripolis 2026-05-02

From 469 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

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