Kalamata vs Aris prediction
Greece Super League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Aris to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Kalamata 20% at home, a draw 33% and Aris 47%, so its call is 2: Aris to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 27% / 30% / 43%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.8 for Kalamata and 1.3 for Aris; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 66%. Careful: there is little recent data on Kalamata, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Kalamata
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
Aris
Attack 8th of 14, defence 5th of 14 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Levadeiakos 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 at Volos NFC 2026-05-13
- W 3-1 v OFI Crete 2026-05-10
- W 2-0 at OFI Crete 2026-05-03
- W 3-2 v Volos NFC 2026-04-18
From 469 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sat 22 Aug
- AEK vs Iraklis · FT 4–0
- Olympiakos vs Atromitos · FT 1–0