AEK vs Iraklis prediction
Greece Super League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates AEK to win as the most likely result (81%). It gives AEK 81% at home, a draw 15% and Iraklis 4%, so its call is 1: AEK to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 83% / 12% / 5%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.5 for AEK and 0.4 for Iraklis; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Iraklis, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
AEK
Attack 2nd of 14, defence 2nd of 14 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Olympiakos 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at PAOK 2026-05-13
- W 2-1 v Panathinaikos 2026-05-10
- D 0-0 at Panathinaikos 2026-05-03
- W 3-0 v PAOK 2026-04-19
Iraklis
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
From 469 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sat 22 Aug
- Kalamata vs Aris · FT 2–3
- Olympiakos vs Atromitos · FT 1–0