Nacional vs Estoril prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 16 August 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Nacional to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Nacional 39% at home, a draw 24% and Estoril 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 28% / 40%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Nacional and 1.5 for Estoril; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Nacional
Attack 11th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Santa Clara 2026-08-10
- W 2-0 v Guimaraes 2026-05-16
- L 0-2 at Santa Clara 2026-05-11
- L 1-2 v AVS 2026-05-02
- W 2-0 at Tondela 2026-04-25
Estoril
Attack 5th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Famalicao 2026-08-07
- L 1-3 v Benfica 2026-05-16
- D 1-1 at Alverca 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 at Sp Braga 2026-05-03
- L 0-1 v Famalicao 2026-04-26
From 625 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 16 Aug
- Arouca vs Moreirense · FT 4–0
- Famalicao vs Maritimo · FT 1–2