Famalicao vs Maritimo prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 16 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Famalicao to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Famalicao 59% at home, a draw 25% and Maritimo 16%, so its call is 1: Famalicao to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 26% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Famalicao and 0.7 for Maritimo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%. Careful: there is little recent data on Maritimo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Famalicao
Attack 7th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Estoril 2026-08-07
- W 1-0 v Alverca 2026-05-16
- D 0-0 at Estrela 2026-05-11
- D 2-2 v Benfica 2026-05-02
- W 1-0 at Estoril 2026-04-26
Maritimo
Attack 17th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Casa Pia 2026-08-08
From 625 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 16 Aug
- Nacional vs Estoril · FT 2–0
- Arouca vs Moreirense · FT 4–0