Willem II vs Nijmegen prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Nijmegen to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Willem II 30% at home, a draw 26% and Nijmegen 44%, so its call is 2: Nijmegen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 19% / 20% / 61%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Willem II and 1.7 for Nijmegen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on Willem II, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Willem II
Attack 17th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 at NAC Breda 2025-05-18
- L 1-2 v Zwolle 2025-05-14
- L 1-2 v Heracles 2025-05-09
- D 1-1 at Nijmegen 2025-05-03
Nijmegen
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Telstar 2026-08-08
- W 2-1 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Groningen 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 v Telstar 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 at Twente 2026-04-25
From 622 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sat 15 Aug
- Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar · FT 1–4
- Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven · FT 1–2
- For Sittard vs Cambuur · FT 3–1