Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 15 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates PSV Eindhoven to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Excelsior 21% at home, a draw 20% and PSV Eindhoven 59%, so its call is 2: PSV Eindhoven to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 14% / 17% / 68%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Excelsior and 2.5 for PSV Eindhoven; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 75%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Excelsior
Attack 13th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-0 at Cambuur 2026-08-07
- W 3-2 at Sparta Rotterdam 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Volendam 2026-05-10
- W 3-2 at Groningen 2026-05-02
- W 5-0 v Utrecht 2026-04-26
PSV Eindhoven
Attack 1st of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v For Sittard 2026-08-08
- W 5-1 v Twente 2026-05-17
- W 4-1 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 at Ajax 2026-05-02
- W 6-1 v Zwolle 2026-04-23
From 622 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sat 15 Aug
- Willem II vs Nijmegen · FT 1–4
- Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar · FT 1–4
- For Sittard vs Cambuur · FT 3–1