Brit Predictor

Oldham vs Port Vale prediction

England League Two · Saturday 15 August 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeOldham 2–0 Port ValeResult 1

Who wins?

OldhamDrawPort Vale
Model 12 ✓
39%29%33%
Market 12 ✓
40%28%31%

Brit Predictor's model rates Oldham to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Oldham 39% at home, a draw 29% and Port Vale 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 28% / 31%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.1 for Oldham and 1.0 for Port Vale; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%. Careful: there is little recent data on Port Vale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 63%
Both teams score43%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Oldham

Attack 10th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.

WLLLL
  • W 3-0 v Accrington 2026-05-02
  • L 2-3 at Newport County 2026-04-25
  • L 1-2 v Salford 2026-04-18
  • L 2-3 at Barrow 2026-04-14
  • L 0-1 at Shrewsbury 2026-04-11

Port Vale

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LWDLW
  • L 0-1 v Gillingham 2025-05-03
  • W 2-0 at AFC Wimbledon 2025-04-26
  • D 2-2 v Grimsby 2025-04-21
  • L 2-3 at Carlisle 2025-04-18
  • W 5-0 v Bromley 2025-04-12

From 1104 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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