Brit Predictor

Accrington vs Colchester prediction

England League Two · Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeAccrington 2–2 ColchesterResult X

Who wins?

AccringtonDrawColchester
Model 2 ✗
28%29%43%
Market 12 ✗
33%29%38%

Brit Predictor's model rates Colchester to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Accrington 28% at home, a draw 29% and Colchester 43%, so its call is 2: Colchester to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 29% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 0.9 for Accrington and 1.2 for Colchester; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 64%.

Expected goals0.9 – 1.2
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 64%
Both teams score42%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Accrington

Attack 19th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.

LDDLL
  • L 0-3 at Oldham 2026-05-02
  • D 3-3 v Crawley Town 2026-04-25
  • D 2-2 at Swindon 2026-04-18
  • L 1-2 at Colchester 2026-04-14
  • L 1-2 v Fleetwood Town 2026-04-11

Colchester

Attack 14th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

WLLWW
  • W 4-1 at Cheltenham 2026-05-02
  • L 0-1 v Notts County 2026-04-25
  • L 0-1 at Harrogate 2026-04-18
  • W 2-1 v Accrington 2026-04-14
  • W 3-0 v Swindon 2026-04-10

From 1104 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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