Newport County vs Rochdale prediction
England League Two · Saturday 15 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Newport County to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Newport County 40% at home, a draw 26% and Rochdale 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 28% / 40%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Newport County and 1.2 for Rochdale; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Newport County
Attack 18th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Barrow 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 v Oldham 2026-04-25
- L 0-1 at Cheltenham 2026-04-18
- W 2-1 v Harrogate 2026-04-11
- L 1-3 at Notts County 2026-04-06
Rochdale
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
From 1104 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 15 Aug
- Oldham vs Port Vale · FT 2–0
- York vs Bristol Rvs · FT 3–2
- Tranmere vs Shrewsbury · FT 2–0
- Northampton vs Swindon · FT 0–0
- Grimsby vs Exeter · FT 1–0
- Gillingham vs Walsall · FT 0–3
- Cheltenham vs Rotherham · FT 2–1
- Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town · FT 0–1
- Barnet vs Salford · FT 3–1
- Accrington vs Colchester · FT 2–2
- Crawley Town vs Crewe · FT 0–1