Notts County vs Leicester prediction

Who wins?

Brit Predictor's model rates Leicester to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Notts County 28% at home, a draw 25% and Leicester 46%, so its call is 2: Leicester to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 27% / 48%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Notts County and 1.5 for Leicester; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Notts County, Leicester, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

From 1104 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.