Burton vs Stevenage prediction
England League One · Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burton to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Burton 36% at home, a draw 31% and Stevenage 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 30% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Burton and 0.9 for Stevenage; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 72%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Burton
Attack 19th of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Leyton Orient 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 v Exeter 2026-04-25
- D 1-1 at Peterboro 2026-04-19
- W 1-0 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-04-11
- D 0-0 at Mansfield 2026-04-06
Stevenage
Attack 20th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Wigan 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 at Doncaster 2026-04-25
- W 1-0 v Barnsley 2026-04-21
- D 2-2 v Lincoln 2026-04-18
- L 1-5 at Bolton 2026-04-14
From 1104 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 15 Aug
- Notts County vs Leicester · FT 1–1
- Oxford vs Milton Keynes Dons · FT 2–2
- Reading vs Luton · FT 3–4
- Plymouth vs Stockport · FT 1–3
- Mansfield vs Doncaster · FT 2–1
- Leyton Orient vs Sheffield Weds · FT 1–2
- Huddersfield vs AFC Wimbledon · FT 3–0
- Bradford vs Peterboro · FT 2–0
- Blackpool vs Wycombe · FT 1–1
- Barnsley vs Bromley · FT 0–1
- Cambridge vs Wigan · FT 3–2