Cambridge vs Wigan prediction
England League One · Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Wigan to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Cambridge 33% at home, a draw 30% and Wigan 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 28% / 28%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cambridge and 1.0 for Wigan; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 68%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cambridge, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cambridge
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-2 v Birmingham 2025-05-03
- L 1-2 at Burton 2025-04-26
- L 1-2 v Leyton Orient 2025-04-21
- W 2-1 at Huddersfield 2025-04-18
- L 0-1 v Charlton 2025-04-12
Wigan
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Stevenage 2026-05-02
- L 0-1 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-04-25
- D 0-0 at Port Vale 2026-04-19
- W 3-0 v Rotherham 2026-04-14
- W 2-1 v Mansfield 2026-04-11
From 1104 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 15 Aug
- Notts County vs Leicester · FT 1–1
- Oxford vs Milton Keynes Dons · FT 2–2
- Reading vs Luton · FT 3–4
- Plymouth vs Stockport · FT 1–3
- Mansfield vs Doncaster · FT 2–1
- Leyton Orient vs Sheffield Weds · FT 1–2
- Huddersfield vs AFC Wimbledon · FT 3–0
- Burton vs Stevenage · FT 1–1
- Bradford vs Peterboro · FT 2–0
- Blackpool vs Wycombe · FT 1–1
- Barnsley vs Bromley · FT 0–1