Zwolle vs Ajax prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 9 August 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ajax to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Zwolle 20% at home, a draw 25% and Ajax 55%, so its call is 2: Ajax to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 14% / 19% / 67%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Zwolle and 1.9 for Ajax; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Zwolle
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-2 v Feyenoord 2026-05-17
- L 2-3 at For Sittard 2026-05-10
- W 1-0 v Heracles 2026-05-03
- L 1-6 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-04-23
- D 2-2 v Excelsior 2026-04-12
Ajax
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 0-0 at Heerenveen 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 v Utrecht 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-05-02
- W 2-0 at NAC Breda 2026-04-25
- W 3-0 at Heracles 2026-04-11
From 617 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 9 Aug
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord · FT 0–1
- Groningen vs Utrecht · FT 2–1
- Heerenveen vs Twente · FT 1–0