Groningen vs Utrecht prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 9 August 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Utrecht to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Groningen 34% at home, a draw 30% and Utrecht 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 26% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Groningen and 1.3 for Utrecht; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Groningen
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-1 at Heracles 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 v Nijmegen 2026-05-10
- L 2-3 v Excelsior 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 at Feyenoord 2026-04-25
- D 0-0 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-04-11
Utrecht
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-0 v For Sittard 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 at Ajax 2026-05-10
- W 2-0 v NAC Breda 2026-05-02
- L 0-5 at Excelsior 2026-04-26
- W 4-1 v Telstar 2026-04-11
From 617 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 9 Aug
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord · FT 0–1
- Zwolle vs Ajax · FT 0–2
- Heerenveen vs Twente · FT 1–0