Brit Predictor

Heerenveen vs Twente prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 9 August 2026, 16:45 WAT

Full timeHeerenveen 1–0 TwenteResult 1

Who wins?

HeerenveenDrawTwente
Model 12 ✓
35%27%38%
Market 2 ✗
30%24%46%

Brit Predictor's model rates Twente to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Heerenveen 35% at home, a draw 27% and Twente 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 24% / 46%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.4 for Heerenveen and 1.5 for Twente; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
GoalsOver 2.5 · 57%
Both teams score61%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Heerenveen

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

DLWWL
  • D 0-0 v Ajax 2026-05-17
  • L 0-2 at NAC Breda 2026-05-10
  • W 2-0 at Volendam 2026-05-03
  • W 2-1 v For Sittard 2026-04-25
  • L 0-3 at AZ Alkmaar 2026-04-12

Twente

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LWDDW
  • L 1-5 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-05-17
  • W 4-0 v Sparta Rotterdam 2026-05-10
  • D 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar 2026-05-03
  • D 1-1 v Nijmegen 2026-04-25
  • W 2-1 v Volendam 2026-04-10

From 617 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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