Brit Predictor

Waregem vs Genk prediction

Belgium Pro League · Sunday 9 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeWaregem 2–1 GenkResult 1

Who wins?

WaregemDrawGenk
Model 12 ✓
34%27%39%
Market 2 ✗
28%25%47%

Brit Predictor's model rates Genk to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Waregem 34% at home, a draw 27% and Genk 39%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 25% / 47%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.4 for Waregem and 1.5 for Genk; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
GoalsOver 2.5 · 57%
Both teams score61%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Waregem

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

WWWWW
  • W 2-1 v Dender 2026-05-09
  • W 3-2 at Cercle Brugge 2026-05-01
  • W 4-0 v RAAL La Louviere 2026-04-26
  • W 2-0 at RAAL La Louviere 2026-04-19
  • W 2-1 at Dender 2026-04-12

Genk

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

WDDWL
  • W 2-0 at Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-05-23
  • D 0-0 v Antwerp 2026-05-19
  • D 0-0 at Standard 2026-05-16
  • W 3-0 v Westerlo 2026-05-10
  • L 0-2 at Charleroi 2026-05-02

From 627 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.

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