Gent vs Mechelen prediction
Belgium Pro League · Sunday 9 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Gent to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Gent 42% at home, a draw 28% and Mechelen 31%, so its call is 1: Gent to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 27% / 23%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Gent and 1.3 for Mechelen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Gent
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-5 at Club Brugge 2026-05-24
- D 0-0 v St. Gilloise 2026-05-21
- D 1-1 at St Truiden 2026-05-16
- D 1-1 v Anderlecht 2026-05-10
- L 0-1 at Mechelen 2026-05-03
Mechelen
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-3 at St Truiden 2026-05-24
- D 2-2 v Club Brugge 2026-05-21
- D 2-2 at Anderlecht 2026-05-17
- L 0-3 at St. Gilloise 2026-05-10
- W 1-0 v Gent 2026-05-03
From 627 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sun 9 Aug
- Charleroi vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven · FT 3–1
- Waregem vs Genk · FT 2–1
- Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louviere · FT 2–1
- Antwerp vs Beveren · FT 2–1