Brit Predictor

Charleroi vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven prediction

Belgium Pro League · Sunday 9 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeCharleroi 3–1 Oud-Heverlee LeuvenResult 1

Who wins?

CharleroiDrawOud-Heverlee Leuven
Model 1 ✓
51%29%20%
Market 1 ✓
55%25%21%

Brit Predictor's model rates Charleroi to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Charleroi 51% at home, a draw 29% and Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20%, so its call is 1: Charleroi to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 25% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Charleroi and 0.8 for Oud-Heverlee Leuven; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.

Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 59%
Both teams score45%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Charleroi

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

WDLWW
  • W 2-0 at Standard 2026-05-23
  • D 1-1 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-05-19
  • L 0-1 v Westerlo 2026-05-16
  • W 1-0 at Antwerp 2026-05-10
  • W 2-0 v Genk 2026-05-02

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LDWLD
  • L 0-2 v Genk 2026-05-23
  • D 1-1 at Charleroi 2026-05-19
  • W 3-0 v Antwerp 2026-05-15
  • L 1-2 at Standard 2026-05-08
  • D 3-3 at Westerlo 2026-05-02

From 627 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.

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