Nantes vs Red Star prediction
France Ligue 2 · Saturday 8 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Nantes to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Nantes 44% at home, a draw 26% and Red Star 30%, so its call is 1: Nantes to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 25% / 19%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Nantes and 1.1 for Red Star; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Nantes, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Nantes
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
Red Star
Attack 10th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Montpellier 2026-05-09
- W 3-1 at Amiens 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 v Guingamp 2026-04-24
- L 2-3 at Reims 2026-04-18
- W 4-3 v Bastia 2026-04-11
From 611 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Sat 8 Aug
- Rodez vs Laval · FT 3–1
- Pau FC vs Annecy · FT 0–1
- Montpellier vs Dijon · FT 1–1
- Sochaux vs St Etienne · FT 0–3
- Dunkerque vs Grenoble · FT 4–2
- Clermont vs Reims · FT 0–0
- Boulogne vs Nancy · FT 0–0
- Metz vs Guingamp · FT 2–1