Brit Predictor

Montpellier vs Dijon prediction

France Ligue 2 · Saturday 8 August 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeMontpellier 1–1 DijonResult X

Who wins?

MontpellierDrawDijon
Model 1 ✗
58%26%16%
Market 1 ✗
51%27%22%

Brit Predictor's model rates Montpellier to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Montpellier 58% at home, a draw 26% and Dijon 16%, so its call is 1: Montpellier to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 27% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Montpellier and 0.7 for Dijon; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%. Careful: there is little recent data on Dijon, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.5 – 0.7
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 62%
Both teams score38%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Montpellier

Attack 11th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.

DLWWD
  • D 1-1 at Red Star 2026-05-09
  • L 1-2 v Clermont 2026-05-02
  • W 2-0 at Amiens 2026-04-24
  • W 2-1 v Grenoble 2026-04-17
  • D 0-0 at Annecy 2026-04-10

Dijon

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

No recent league games.

From 611 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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