Maritimo vs Casa Pia prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 8 August 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Maritimo to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Maritimo 52% at home, a draw 25% and Casa Pia 23%, so its call is 1: Maritimo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 29% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Maritimo and 1.0 for Casa Pia; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%. Careful: there is little recent data on Maritimo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Maritimo
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
Casa Pia
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 1-1 v Rio Ave 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 at Guimaraes 2026-05-11
- L 0-1 v Tondela 2026-05-03
- L 1-2 at Gil Vicente 2026-04-27
- L 0-1 v Sp Braga 2026-04-23
From 613 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 8 Aug
- Guimaraes vs Arouca · FT 0–1
- Estrela vs Sp Lisbon · FT 2–2