Estrela vs Sp Lisbon prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 8 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Lisbon to win as the most likely result (80%). It gives Estrela 7% at home, a draw 13% and Sp Lisbon 80%, so its call is 2: Sp Lisbon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 9% / 17% / 74%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.7 for Estrela and 2.7 for Sp Lisbon; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 65%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Estrela
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 2-2 at Sp Braga 2026-05-16
- D 0-0 v Famalicao 2026-05-11
- L 2-3 at Moreirense 2026-05-02
- L 1-2 v Porto 2026-04-26
- L 0-1 at Arouca 2026-04-19
Sp Lisbon
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 3-0 v Gil Vicente 2026-05-16
- W 4-1 at Rio Ave 2026-05-11
- W 5-1 v Guimaraes 2026-05-04
- D 2-2 v Tondela 2026-04-29
- D 1-1 at AVS 2026-04-26
From 613 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 8 Aug
- Maritimo vs Casa Pia · FT 1–0
- Guimaraes vs Arouca · FT 0–1