Brit Predictor

Watford vs Lincoln prediction

England Championship · Tuesday 3 November 2026, 20:45 WAT

Who wins?

WatfordDrawLincoln
Model 1
45%27%28%
Market 12
38%27%35%

Brit Predictor's model rates Watford to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Watford 45% at home, a draw 27% and Lincoln 28%, so its call is 1: Watford to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 27% / 35%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Watford and 1.1 for Lincoln; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Lincoln, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score52%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 10:21 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Watford

Attack 22nd of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.

LLWLL
  • L 2-3 at Norwich 2026-10-31
  • L 0-1 at Wolves 2026-10-24
  • W 2-0 v Charlton 2026-10-17
  • L 1-5 at Cardiff 2026-10-13
  • L 0-4 v Burnley 2026-10-10

Lincoln

Attack 20th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

LWDLL
  • L 1-3 v Birmingham 2026-10-31
  • W 4-1 v Burnley 2026-10-24
  • D 2-2 at Millwall 2026-10-17
  • L 0-6 v West Ham 2026-10-14
  • L 0-3 at Sheffield United 2026-10-10

From 1260 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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