QPR vs Burnley prediction
England Championship · Tuesday 3 November 2026, 20:45 WAT
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burnley to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives QPR 36% at home, a draw 27% and Burnley 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 25% / 27%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for QPR and 1.4 for Burnley; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Burnley, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 10:21 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
QPR
Attack 11th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Southampton 2026-10-31
- W 5-0 v Swansea 2026-10-24
- L 0-3 at Birmingham 2026-10-17
- W 4-1 v Derby 2026-10-14
- D 1-1 at West Ham 2026-10-09
Burnley
Attack 8th of 24, defence 4th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Portsmouth 2026-10-31
- L 1-4 at Lincoln 2026-10-24
- L 1-2 v Wolves 2026-10-16
- D 2-2 v Charlton 2026-10-13
- W 4-0 at Watford 2026-10-10
From 1260 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.