Brit Predictor

Nice vs Rennes prediction

France Ligue 1 · Friday 30 October 2026, 19:00 WAT

Full timeNice 5–2 RennesResult 1

Who wins?

NiceDrawRennes
Model 12 ✓
34%25%41%
Market 12 ✓
37%26%37%

Brit Predictor's model rates Rennes to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Nice 34% at home, a draw 25% and Rennes 41%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 26% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Nice and 1.7 for Rennes; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.7
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score64%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Nice

Attack 13th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.

WLWWL
  • W 2-1 at Brest 2026-10-23
  • L 1-2 at Lyon 2026-10-18
  • W 2-1 v Strasbourg 2026-10-11
  • W 2-1 v Lille 2026-09-20
  • L 0-1 at Auxerre 2026-09-12

Rennes

Attack 3rd of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.

WLWLW
  • W 3-0 v Strasbourg 2026-10-25
  • L 3-4 at Paris FC 2026-10-18
  • W 4-1 v Auxerre 2026-10-11
  • L 0-4 at Lyon 2026-09-19
  • W 1-0 v Marseille 2026-09-11

From 684 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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